All we have until the day that Donald Trump Junior actually shows up to fulfill his obligation before the Senate after being subpoenaed to testify once again is analysis and speculation. His appearance before the Intelligence Committee will certainly be the only thing in the news when that day comes, and we all want to know what we might be able to expect.
It seems, though, that there are really only three ways this testimony could possibly go, and none of them are likely very appealing to the Trump family.
Number one, Junior could just lie. For many spectators, this seems the likeliest route for him to go — Junior is known to have perjured himself already before Congress, and if there has ever been an episode of Trumplandia where one of the main characters actually admitted that they’d lied about something in the past, which he’d have to do in order to tell the truth now, we must have missed it.
But if he does go that route, he would surely be referred for prosecution, and although dad’s pal William Barr would shield him for as long as possible, it would be awfully hard to run for reelection on the idea that Mueller proved him innocent if his kid is still under investigation for lying about the whole thing.
Option two would be the inverse of that: Admit he lied and prostrate himself before the mercy of the Committee. He personally would almost assuredly escape punishment going that route, but it would kill dad’s chances in 2020 and probably get him disowned, to boot.
But the outcome I personally think is most likely is the third possibility here, and that’s Junior showing up and just pleading the Fifth to everything he’s asked. Now, he could do that and save face, and the Trump campaign could try and sell that as something like “they would just use his words to build a fake news case against him,” but the fact is, neither the American public nor Congress is very likely to see it that way, especially considering the fact that it was the Republican chair of the Intelligence Committee that sent out the subpoena in the first place.
All of this talk about “limited testimony” for Junior is overblown, and you have every reason to get excited about this hearing — although we won’t see it in real time. Yes it’s limited, but only limited to the topics that he lied about last time, and the fact is, if Republicans were letting Junior off the hook, they’d have allowed him to testify in writing.
As it stands now, one of these three things will happen. Which one they choose to go with all depends on their political calculus as to which would look the worst for his father.
Featured image is a screen capture.