The Morning Consult organization is the most comprehensive polling and poll tracking service currently in use, surveying more than 5,000 registered voters every single day on a number of issues — including an ongoing survey that’s been tracking Donald Trump’s approval ratings state by state since he was inaugurated in January 2017.
That kind of data is indispensable to campaigns, but only if they actually parse it and take it into account when designing strategies for their campaign operations.
That seems to be a fault in the Trump reelection camp if what he says publicly is in any way reflective of what his campaign actually believes. The President is confident, to be sure, but he is extremely overconfident if he thinks sheer charisma is going to dig him out of the holes he’s dug himself in the states he absolutely needs to win in order to get reelected.
Issues like the backfired tax plan that actually raised income taxes for most Americans by a significant amount, the appointment of a man who’s ostensibly a serial rapist to the Supreme Court, and his ongoing torture of children at the US–Mexico border at the hands of sadistic border agents who openly flaunt violations of court orders and regularly violate the Geneva Conventions have all combined to set Trump on a path to failure, and the newest Morning Consult numbers bear that out.
Tracking “approve,” “disapprove,” and “not sure” in their surveys, the service provides net approval ratings based on the difference between the non-unsure responses — and in the states that are widely regarded as swing states, Trump is deep underwater with net disapproval ratings. For example, in Florida, the President has a 47 percent approval rating, and 50 percent disapproval, giving him a net approval rating of negative 3 percent.
But that’s on the small side:
North Carolina is also at negative 3, and it gets worse from there. Ohio, negative 6. Arizona, negative 7. And in those states he won from Hillary that likely sealed the election? Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and New Hampshire have him at negative 9, 14, 15, and 23.
These are easily the worst numbers any President has seen in advance of an upcoming election in nearly three decades.
Featured image is a screen capture.
Like what you see here? Join the discussion on Facebook over at Stop The Crazy!